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Tin tức

Australia, NZ dollars draw support from data surprises

Australia, NZ dollars draw support from data surprises By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar recouped early losses on Thursday as an upbeat jobs report helped offset broad gains in its U.S. counterpart, while news on the New Zealand economy proved slightly less dire than feared. The Aussie was back at $0.6765 AUD=D3 , off a low of $0.6738. It had briefly been as high as $0.6820 overnight after the Federal Reserve cut U.S.
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US recap: EUR/USD firms as Fed goes big with first rate cut

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD firms as Fed goes big with first rate cut Sept 18 (Reuters) - The dollar index dipped briefly to a new year-to-date low after the Fed Reserve, in an 11-1 vote, lowered its policy rate by 50 basis points Wednesday to 4.75%-5.00% range, more than economists expected. The central bank’s dot plot projections were lowered across tenors with Fed funds seen at 4.4% by the end of 2024 and 3.4% at end of 2025. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the labor market has cooled but t
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Australian dollar hits two-week peak before Fed rate verdict

Australian dollar hits two-week peak before Fed rate verdict SYDNEY, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hit a two-week top on Wednesday due to wagers that the Federal Reserve could kick-start its easing cycle with a big move, although that is far from certain and those gains could easily evaporate. The Aussie AUD=D3 climbed to as far as $0.6773, the highest since Sept.
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US recap: EUR/USD eases as dollar receives pre-Fed data boost

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD eases as dollar receives pre-Fed data boost Sept 17 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up Tuesday amid higher Treasury yields after a spate of solid U.S. economic data and as sentiment improved ahead of an expected Fed rate cut Wednesday. Market odds remain at over 60% for a jumbo 50bp rate reduction. In U.S. data, August retail sales rose 0.1%, confounding expectations for a 0.2% decline.
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Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets

Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars held firm on Tuesday having got a lift from wagers on an outsized U.S. rate cut this week, which helped both currencies dodge a bearish break of chart bulwarks. The Aussie was steady at $0.6747 AUD=D3 , having bounced 0.7% overnight from support at $0.6689. Resistance now lies at $0.6767 and $0.6823. The kiwi dollar idled at $0.6190 NZD=D3 , after also rally
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US recap: EUR/USD rallies as Fed expectations hit dollar

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD rallies as Fed expectations hit dollar Sept 16 (Reuters) - The dollar fell Monday amid growing expectations that the Fed will cut 50 basis points on Wednesday, with current market pricing now at over 60% for such a reduction. The pound advanced ahead of a UK inflation report Wednesday and Bank of England decision Thursday.
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week

Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week SYDNEY, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled for direction on Monday amid thin liquidity, although their near-term fate is almost entirely riding on the size of the U.S. rate cut this week, with bets of a large half-point move boosting bonds. Holidays in China, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia made for thin conditions.
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US recap: EUR/USD slightly firmer as dollar wobbles on Fed-50 view

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slightly firmer as dollar wobbles on Fed-50 view Sept 13 (Reuters) - The dollar fell Friday as odds of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut Wednesday were lifted following various media reports on the policy outlook. Current market pricing stands at about 45% for such a cut, rising from under 20% earlier this week. Risk- and yield-sensitive currencies outperformed on the session as lower Treasury yields fueled a rally in shares.
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Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally

Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally SYDNEY, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were headed for weekly gains on Friday following a rally in equities and commodities, while revived bets for an outsized U.S. rate cut next week also weighed on the greenback. The Aussie AUD=D3 held at $0.6727, having jumped 0.7% overnight to move further away from a one-month low of $0.6620 hit earlier in the week.
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US recap: ECB caution gives EUR/USD a lift

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: ECB caution gives EUR/USD a lift Sept 12 (Reuters) - The euro rose after the European Central bank lowered its policy rate 25 basis points, as expected, while suggesting future cuts are data dependent. The central bank’s inflation forecasts were largely left unchanged just shy of 2%, the growth outlook was marked down and core inflation was lifted slightly.
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FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies

Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies SYDNEY, Sept 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars found some support on Thursday as a rebound in world stock markets and expectations for a European rate cut helped steady risk sentiment. The European Central Bank is considered certain to ease by 25 basis points later on Thursday with the only question being whether it leaves the door open to cuts in October and December as well.
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US recap: EUR/USD flat as CPI keeps dollar holding firm

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD flat as CPI keeps dollar holding firm Sept 11 (Reuters) - The dollar posted a modest gain Wednesday as odds of a jumbo 50bp Fed rate cut next week fell after U.S. consumer inflation for August largely met expectations. U.S. CPI rose 0.2% on the month with the annual rate of inflation advancing 2.5%, its slowest pace since February 2021. The core measure that excludes food and energy was up 0.3% on the month, slightly above estimates.
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FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook

Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on hold on Wednesday awaiting U.S. inflation figures that could affect the pace of policy easing there, while both currencies continued to lose ground to the safe-haven Japanese yen. The Aussie was flat at $0.6656 AUD=D3 , having barely moved overnight.
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US recap: EUR/USD eases slightly while attention turns to US debate, CPI

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD eases slightly while attention turns to US debate, CPI Sept 10 (Reuters) - The yen outperformed its G-10 peers as the risk tone briefly soured during the early afternoon in New York amid weakness in bank shares and lower oil prices. The dollar index edged up about 0.1% with the greenback gaining against most counterparts.
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FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries

Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries SYDNEY, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Tuesday, pressured by persistent concerns about China's economy and worries about a sharp slowdown in the labour market Down Under. The Aussie AUD=D3 was subdued at $0.6657, having dipped 0.2% overnight.
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US recap: EUR/USD backpedals as dollar advances broadly

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD backpedals as dollar advances broadly Sept 9 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose on Monday as fears of a hard U.S. landing ebbed, lifting shares and commodity prices. The ICE dollar index was up 0.3% in modest turnover with the greenback gaining against nearly all its G-10 peers. The euro dipped to short-term support near 1.1010/30 where buyers emerged despite looming risks of an ECB rate cut Thursday.
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FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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