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EURGBP


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Technical Analysis – EURGBP trades within tight channel

·       EURGBP finds strong resistance at 50-day SMA ·       Momentum oscillators hold below their mid-levels EURGBP is trading within a narrow range of 0.8420-0.8460 over the last couple of weeks, remaining capped by the flat 50-day simple moving average (SMA) around the 0.8460 resistance. Technically, the RSI indicator is pointing south marginally beneath the 50 level; however, the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger line beneath the zero line with weak momentum.
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Could BoE surprise with a rate cut on Thursday? – Preview

BoE meeting concludes on Thursday, the day after the Fed Economists assign an almost zero chance of a rate cut Wednesday’s CPI and the Fed rate cut could lead to a surprise BoE move Pound to benefit from an uneventful meeting BoE will announce its rate decision on Thursday The Bank of England is joining the chorus of the central bank meetings on Thursday.
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EURGBP is edging higher today, a tad below its 50-day SMA Euro gains today after a weak set of UK data prints Momentum indicators ready to signal a bullish move EURGBP is trading higher today, relatively close to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) after testing, but, once again, failing to close below the 0.8401 level. The euro is preparing for Thursday’s ECB meeting, which is expected to deliver another rate cut, with the pound suffering after a relatively weak set of econo
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Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Daily Comment – Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate  

Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile US presidential debate today could prove market moving UK labour market data supports the pound Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound Stocks breathe better US equity markets recorded gains in yesterday’s session, with the Nasdaq 100 index leading the rally, and euro/dollar dropped close to 1.1030 despite the fact that most participants remain uncertain about next week’s Fed rate cut size and confus
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EURGBP rebounds off 0.8400 Price remains beneath SMAs RSI and MACD point up EURGBP is recovering somewhat after the plunge from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.8545, losing 1.7%. The RSI is also trying to gain some ground beneath the 50 level, while the MACD oscillator's negative momentum is weakening beneath its trigger and zero lines.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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Technical Analysis - EURGBP flirts with key support territory

EURGBP tumbles, but finds support near 0.8400 RSI and MACD detect bearish momentum But a break below 0.8380 is needed for further declines A move above 0.8500 could keep the picture neutral EURGBP has been in a steady slide since August 8, when it hit the key resistance zone of 0.8625. That said, the pair is currently flirting with the all-important support area of 0.8380-0.8400, a break below which may be needed for the near-term outlook to clearly be considered bearish.
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EURGBP rebounds off 0.8510 Prices remain above downtrend line RSI and MACD above their mid-levels EURGBP looks to be creating a floor around the 0.8510 support level, with s strong obstacle coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.8545. The pair is developing above the downtrend line but still needs some boost to confirm the bullish structure in the short-term view.
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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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Could eurozone PMI surveys cement the September ECB rate cut? – Preview  

Markets are preparing for the Jackson Hole Symposium Eurozone data supports another ECB rate cut PMI surveys for the euro area will be published on Thursday Euro remains on the back foot against the pound The Jackson Hole gathering to break the summer lull Whilst ECB members are probably enjoying their hard-earned holiday break, the countdown to the Jackson Hole Symposium and the crucial September central banks’ meetings has already started.
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EURGBP regains strength near 0.8540 after UK CPI surprises to the downside Short-term bias is skewed to the upside; confirmation awaited above 0.8560   EURGBP completed four green weeks since its plunge to a two-year low of 0.8381 and another one is in progress despite the break from a vertical rally that led the price to a three-and-a-half month high of 0.8623. Weaker-than-expected UK CPI data helped the pair to turn up near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the April-July downleg
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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Market Comment – Stocks edge up in calm before the storm

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant kiwi underperformance Stocks edge higher as gold climb continues  It was another uneventful session yesterday with most stock indices continuing to recover from last week’s rout.
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The calmer markets could refocus on economic releases Rich UK data calendar could question BoE’s recent rate cut Wednesday’s headline inflation to see a small acceleration Pound is trying to recover from the BoE-induced underperformance Markets to refocus on data Following a rather eventful period, market participants are feeling slightly calmer at the beginning of this week and hence have the chance to refocus on the real economy.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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EURGBP fails to extend bullish actions MACD and RSI indicate upside movements EURGBP has been fighting with the short-term descending trend line over the last four sessions and it also had a spike towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.8460. The technical oscillators are showing some positive signs. The RSI is heading north marginally beneath the 50 level, while the MACD is extending its recovery above its trigger line, below the zero level.
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