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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY seems to have found a floor

EURJPY rebounds off 155.15 Immediate resistance at downtrend line RSI and MACD look negative EURJPY held losses for the second week in a row, dropping towards the 155.15 support, which stands slightly above the more-than-seven-month low. Technically, the price could lose some ground in the short term as the RSI is changing direction to the downside and towards its 30 mark, while the MACD is still standing beneath its trigger and zero lines.
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Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCHF, Gold

EURJPY sends encouraging signals; confirmation awaited above 156.74 USDCHF builds a floor near 8-month low; bulls seek more power above 0.8540 Gold in a wait-and-see mode within the 2,500 area as risks remain
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Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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EURJPY is hovering around the 157.99 level EURJPY bears quickly erased the mid-August recovery attempt Momentum indicators confirm the ongoing bearish pressure EURJPY is trading lower today, hovering around the 157.99 level, and staying relatively close to the August 5 low of 154.38. Expectations for another ECB rate cut this week, the negative newsflow regarding the German economy, and the possibility of another BoJ rate hike have allowed JPY bulls to regain market control and era
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY eases from 38.2% Fibonacci

EURJPY may find significant resistance at 164.00 Rebound off 7-month low still holds RSI heads down below 50 level MACD recovers above its trigger line EURJPY is currently heading south following the unsuccessful battle with the 162.30 resistance level, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 175.37 to 154.40. However, a more important struggle for the bulls could come at the 164.00 psychological level, which coincides with the 200-day simple moving
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY develops beneath 200-day SMA

EURJPY lost 12% from multi-year high Short-term bias skewed to the upside, but caution needed EURJPY remains under pressure, and risk is still on the downside as prices continue to drift lower after the failure attempt to climb beyond the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 164.00. In the bigger picture, EURJPY has lost around 12% from the multi-year high of 157.37 to the seven-month low of 154.40. Prices rebounded off the 160.35 support level, but based on technical oscillators,
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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY’s rebound falters ahead of 200-SMA

EURJPY recovers from its 2024 low posted on August 6 But the rebound stumbles before testing 200-day SMA Oscillators are skewed to the downside   EURJPY experienced a vast selloff in July, dropping from a 32-year peak of 175.41 to as low as 154.34 on August 6, which is also the pair’s 2024 bottom. Since then, the pair has been in a recovery mode, but its rebound seems to have paused for now ahead of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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EURJPY is extending its rebound from 8-month lows But is there enough momentum to stretch the gains further? EURJPY is rising for a third straight session, extending the rebound from the August 5 low of 154.38 towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August slide. The 38.2% Fibonacci of 162.41 has seen some congestion in the past so overcoming it might not be so easy.
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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Technical Analysis – Does the recent EURJPY correction have legs?

EURJPY is hovering around the 159.64 level It is trading around 9% lower from its recent high Momentum indicators are mixed, all eyes on stochastics EURJPY is trading lower today, close to the 159.64 level and considerably above the August 5 low of 154.38. The market is clearly trying to find its footing following the recent rout that was triggered by the bigger-than-expected rate hike by the BoJ and fears about an imminent US recession.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY stubbornly fights for an upturn

EURJPY remains resilient above pivotal territory Some recovery likely, but short-term risk not bullish yet Eurozone Q2 GDP growth +0.3% q/q vs +0.2% q/q expected   EURJPY is making another attempt to pierce through the 168.00 level and the support-turned-resistance trendline from February at 168.17. Although previous efforts were fruitless, the pair keeps defending itself above long-term trendlines for the fourth day, and with oversold conditions detected by the technical ind
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Heightened volatility across all asset classes – Volatility Watch

• Yen crosses are volatile as they retreat from multi-year highs • Volatility in oil and gold surges, Bitcoin follows suit • US equities exhibit higher volatility amid correction fears The euro and dollar pairs maintain low volatility ahead of the US PCE release on Friday and a quiet week on the European data front. On the flipside, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the pairs have been extending their latest pullbacks from multi-year highs.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY extends pullback from 32-year high

EURJPY jumped to its highest since January 1992 on July 11 But is trending lower since then due to Japanese intervention Oscillators deteriorate significantly, suggesting bearish bias EURJPY has been in an uptrend since the beginning of the year, storming to a fresh 32-year peak of 175.41. Nevertheless, the pair experienced a pullback following a currency intervention from Japan, with the retreat extending towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and ascending trendline in
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