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EURUSD

Nghiên cứu XM

Nghiên cứu XM - 15 giờ trước

Quick Brief – It’s Fed time!

Will the Fed cut interest rates by 25bps or 50bps? A 25bps reduction could be the wiser choice But there are upside risks even in the case of a 50bps cut The much-awaited FOMC decision has finally arrived. In a few hours, the Committee will make known to the world whether it has decided to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points. According to Fed funds futures, the probability of a bolder 50bps reduction currently rests at around 55%, with the remaining 45% pointing to a quart
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Nghiên cứu XM - 22 giờ trước

Daily Comment – Let the Fed rate cuts begin

Dollar trades indecisively ahead of important Fed decision Investors assign a strong 60% chance for a 50bps cut Wall Street and gold traders also on the edge of their seats Pound rebounds on sticky UK inflation Fed to press the rate cut button The dollar rebounded against most of its major peers on Tuesday but resumed its slide early today as traders appear reluctant to assume a clear direction ahead of the very important Fed decision later today, when the Committee is expecte
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – Will EURUSD take its bullish chances?

EURUSD slows pace after a quick bounce to 1.1135 Short-term trendline in focus; technical bias remains positive US retail sales due at 12:30 GMT   EURUSD started the week on the right foot, finishing Monday’s session comfortably higher, though around the short-term resistance trendline at 1.1135, which poses a risk. The pair is currently lacking momentum, but the bulls are still in town according to the technical indicators.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

EURUSD speeds up to test 1.1100 area as debate over a bold Fed rate cut continues USDJPY hits 14-month low; BoJ awaited to give direction on rate hikes GBPUSD shifts to the upside ahead of CPI data and BoE rate decision   FOMC rate decision --> EURUSD The Fed will announce its rate decision on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT and the question is not if, but by how much it will cut interest rates.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Technical Analysis – EURUSD holds bullish bias but strong resistance at 1.1150

EURUSD pulls back up off 1.1000 Price surpasses 20-day SMA Technical oscillators tick north EURUSD has gained ground over the last few days, especially after the rebound off the 1.1000 round number, and it managed to hold above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and re-enter the 1.1100 area, with the technical indicators feeding prospects for a possible positive short-term trading.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 ngày trước

Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Dollar sinks, gold surges as 50bps Fed cut back in the picture

Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut Fed rate cut expectations swing wildly Expectations of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September had all been priced out by investors.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Technical Analysis – EURUSD pauses southward run at 1.1000

EURUSD needs some boost for more increases Stochastics points up below 20 RSI flattens beneath 50 level EURUSD is battling with the 1.1000 psychological number after the bearish correction that started from the 13-month high of 1.1200. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is ticking slightly higher in the oversold territory, while the RSI is moving horizontally beneath the neutral threshold of 50. Both suggest that the negative move may be paused.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Dollar firms after CPI, euro awaits ECB, techs lead equities rebound

US dollar edges up after CPI report wipes out 50-bps rate cut bets Euro stuck on the backfoot in wait for ECB decision Wall Street rebound gathers pace as tech stocks rally Mixed CPI report disappoints US inflation fell to the lowest since February 2021 in August, but the bigger-than-expected drop in the headline figure was overshadowed by an acceleration in the monthly core measure.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD seems to have found a floor above 1.1000

EURUSD is higher again today Momentum indicators confirm an upside recovery EURUSD found some footing around the 1.1015 support level and returned to the upside thereafter. The price failed to penetrate the 1.1000 psychological level where any rally higher may prove valuable to the market. The red Tenkan-sen however remains flat above the blue Kijun-sen and the RSI is currently flirting with the 50 level.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate  

Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile US presidential debate today could prove market moving UK labour market data supports the pound Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound Stocks breathe better US equity markets recorded gains in yesterday’s session, with the Nasdaq 100 index leading the rally, and euro/dollar dropped close to 1.1030 despite the fact that most participants remain uncertain about next week’s Fed rate cut size and confus
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

ECB policy meeting: another rate cut and emphasis on September’s data – Preview

ECB widely expected to deliver a second rate cut to 3.50% September’s data could be important for October’s meeting EURUSD looks bearish; next support could develop near 1.0990     Spotlight turns to economic growth too Inflation is no longer the sole focus, as economic growth has gained equal importance, athough central banks still prioritize maintaining symmetrical price stability around 2.0%.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Dollar and equities rebound from NFP-led losses as focus turns to US CPI

US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed policy Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes hold But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB decision Signs of optimism after NFP bloodbath Markets began the second week of September in a somewhat more upbeat mood as US slowdown jitters were put on hold even as inflation data out of China pointed to persistently weak demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD

ECB’s rate cut is expected with EURUSD staying below 1.1200 US CPI data may be another sign before Fed’s decision GBPUSD may plunge further if UK employment data disappoint ECB interest rate decision --> EURUSD Several important economic data releases and events may affect market sentiment in the next few days, following a gloomy week.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Quick Brief – US jobs bounce back less than expected, dollar slips

US economy adds 142k jobs in August versus forecast of 160k But unemployment rate dips as wage growth accelerates   Nonfarm payrolls bounced back in August, rising by 142k, while the unemployment rate fell slightly to 4.2% as expected. However, the payrolls figure is below the consensus forecast of 160k jobs and the prior month’s reading of 114k was revised down to 89k, feeding doubts about the health of the US economy.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Week Ahead – ECB poised to cut again, US CPI to get final say on size of Fed cut

ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers ECB to cut rates for second time The European Central Bank’s carefully choreographed rate-cutting cycle got off to an awkward start in June after last-minute data upsets.
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