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USDCAD


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Technical Analysis – USDCAD plunges below 1.3600

USDCAD tumbles after the spike to 1.3645 today Momentum oscillators are heading down USDCAD has been in a strong selling interest today, despite the bullish start and the climb to 1.3645. The price tumbled beneath the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), flirting with the 20-day SMA at 1.3540. Technically, the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger line, but the momentum is currently weakening.
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Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD flirts with 200-day SMA again

USDCAD remains below 1.3600 MACD and RSI indicate upside recovery USDCAD is moving back and forth of the 200-day simple moving average, which is standing marginally beneath the 1.3600 round number. Earlier in the week, the market successfully travelled towards the 1.3620 bar, adding optimism for more bullish actions. The technical oscillators are confirming an upside recovery after prices bounced off the 1.3440 support level.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD rises back near 1.3600 key zone

USDCAD tries to keep the battle going with the 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators indicate more upside moves USDCAD advanced considerably on Friday, meeting the 200-simple moving average (SMA), slightly beneath the 1.3600 round number. A successful rally above the aforementioned level could add some optimism for more bullish actions, hitting the 50-day SMA at 1.3665, while even higher, the 1.3790 barrier may pause the ascending move.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD doubts September’s upturn

USDCAD trims September’s uptick to trade near key trendline Technical signals are mixed; a break below 1.3480 could shift the bias to the downside US & Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT   USDCAD started Friday’s NFP session with soft negative momentum after a stagnant day, which prevented the pair from examining its weekly high of 1.3564. While the technical indicators have barely shown any improvement, there is still a chance for a positive turnaround as long
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Daily Comment – Wall Street tumbles amid September blues

Yen and franc gain, aussie the main loser Wall Street tumbles on risk-off September start ISM mfg. PMI rekindles economic concerns Oil collapses on prospect of Libyan accord Risk aversion prevails The US dollar outperformed most of its major counterparts on Tuesday, losing ground only versus the traditional safe havens such as the yen and the franc.
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BoC rate decision: Third rate cut on the way – Preview

BoC could easily cut interest rates for the third time on Wednesday  Macro data favors additional easing but will it be a continuous process? USDCAD needs a close above 1.3585 to gain fresh bullish momentum   The easing cycle has more room to go The Bank of Canada (BoC) is in the front of the global easing cycle. Having cut interest rates twice in a row, the central bank is widely expected to announce its third reduction on Wednesday at 13:45 GMT, but it won’t stop there.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD

USDJPY aims to break above 20-SMA ahead of the NFP report. Will it be successful this time? USDCAD stops at 5-month low as the focus turns to the BoC rate decision AUDUSD hangs near 8-month high; Australian GDP is on the calendar   Nonfarm payrolls, ISM PMIs --> USDJPY USDJPY is looking for fresh buying as it is still striving for a close above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and beyond the 146.00 number.
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Week Ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Traders see decent chance for 50bps Fed cut in September Powell adds extra importance to jobs data, NFP awaited BoC decides on rates, third consecutive cut is fully priced in Aussie traders lock gaze on GDP numbers   Bets for double Fed cut remain elevated Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD rises from almost 6-month low

USDCAD changes the outlook to bearish after the fall below 1.3600 Stochastic ticks up but RSI still holds near 30 zone USDCAD is recouping some losses after the strong selling interest that started from the penetration of the 1.3600 round number and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The pair found support near the 1.3440 level, which is an almost six-month low.
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Daily Comment – Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries Dollar awaits key data for direction The US dollar extended its slump against all its major peers on Tuesday, as in the absence of any top-tier data and shocking headlines, investors continued to digest Powell’s dovish stance at Jackson Hole.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD bears take a breather after slump below 1.3600

 USDCAD hits almost 5-month low around 1.3500 Stochastic and RSI hover in the oversold regions USDCAD saw aggressive selling interest on Friday, sending the market well below the strong 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which overlaps with the 1.3600 psychological mark. The pair recorded an almost five-month low of 1.3497, but it is currently rising somewhat, with the technical oscillators remaining in oversold areas. The stochastic posted a bearish crossover within its %K and
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Week Ahead – PCE inflation eyed as Fed lays groundwork for September cut

Focus to stay on the Fed as PCE inflation to be week’s main highlight Eurozone inflation data to be crucial for ECB rate cut hopes Australian and Tokyo CPI, plus Canadian GDP also on the agenda Will PCE inflation disappoint dovish expectations? The Fed’s long-anticipated dovish pivot is upon us and markets are bracing for the first US rate cut of this cycle at the September 17-18 meeting.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD still fights with 1.3600

USDCAD repeatedly tests the 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators are mixed USDCAD has been battling with the 1.3600 round number and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) over the last couple of days. A successful break beneath these critical levels could open the way for a downside retracement in the medium-term. The technical oscillators are showing some contradictory signs.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD fights with 1.3600 and 200-day SMA

USDCAD decreases close to critical levels Stochastics look oversold but RSI still falls USDCAD is having a strong battle with the 1.3600 psychological level and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) after the significant pullback off the 22-month high of 1.3947. The stochastic looks oversold below the 20 level; however, the RSI is keeping its downside momentum near the 30 level.
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Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs enter the spotlight

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets Following the unjustified panic triggered by the weaker-than-expected NFP report for July, investors have taken a calmer stance, thereafter, reevaluating their aggressive Fed rate cut bets as the incoming data s
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD bears take a break but are not done yet

USDCAD experiences worst week of the year Selling pressure might persist; eyes on 1.3730 Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT   Since reaching a 22-month high of 1.3945, USDCAD has been steadily dropping towards its 50-day SMA at 1.3730, making it the worst-performing week of the year. The broken resistance trendline drawn from April's peak is now providing support in the market, although there is no certainty of a bullish rotation according to the technical indicat
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Weekly Technical Outlook– USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD

USDJPY gives up its 2024 rally on recession fears; ISM services PMI next in focus AUDUSD sinks to 8-month low. Will the RBA policy decision come to the rescue? USDCAD loses momentum after 22-month high; Canadian employment due on Friday   ISM non-manufacturing PMI --> USDJPY Market expectations shifted from a soft landing to a hard landing after a disappointing ISM manufacturing survey coupled with poor jobs figures last week made investors think that the Fed has kept interes
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