• Canadian CPI falls to 1.6% y/y
• BoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bps
• Loonie loses significant ground

Canada's annual inflation rate decreased to 1.6% in September, down from 2% in the previous month, the lowest since February 2021 and below the market consensus of 1.8%. It was the second consecutive period in which CPI inflation fell on or below the Bank of Canada's target of 2%, endorsing expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 50 bps during the next policy meeting. Inflation is showing signs of easing substantially, so the BoC has less reason to be cautious going forward.

Furthermore, the Bank of Canada's closely watched trimmed mean inflation rate unexpectedly held steady at 2.4%, and the month-on-month CPI fell by 0.4% compared to -0.2% in the preceding month.

Lower inflation figures weakened the loonie, leading to expectations of a more dovish stance from the BoC. Dollar/loonie skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3836 after the release, on course to complete the tenth consecutive green day. It is worth mentioning that the pair added more than 3% after the rebound from the 1.3420 support level, with the next resistance coming from 1.3890.