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Sterling rises after UK inflation data and ahead of Fed

Sterling rises after UK inflation data and ahead of Fed By Linda Pasquini LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The British pound rose against the dollar on Wednesday after UK inflation data boosted the market view that the Bank of England will keep interest rates steady on Thursday, in contrast with an expected start to the U.S. policy easing cycle later on Wednesday.
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Sterling holds gains on eve of UK inflation data, US rate decision

Sterling holds gains on eve of UK inflation data, US rate decision By Linda Pasquini LONDON, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The British pound held firm against the dollar on Tuesday, maintaining Monday's gains, as traders geared up for UK inflation data, a Bank of England meeting and an expected start to a U.S. easing cycle this week. Sterling GBP=D3 hovered slightly in positive territory on the day at $1.3224, having risen 0.7% a day earlier.
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Sterling gains ahead of UK inflation data, BoE meeting this week

Sterling gains ahead of UK inflation data, BoE meeting this week By Linda Pasquini LONDON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The British pound rose against the dollar on Monday, after closing slightly in negative territory last week, ahead of this week's UK inflation data and central bank meeting. Sterling GBP=D3 rose by 0.5% on the day to $1.3190, above the $1.3125 it recorded at Friday's close.
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Sterling slightly up ahead of UK inflation data, BoE meeting next week

Sterling slightly up ahead of UK inflation data, BoE meeting next week By Linda Pasquini LONDON, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The British pound gained slightly on Friday, adding to Thursday's rise off a three-week low against the dollar, as the focus shifted to next week's UK inflation data and central bank meeting. Sterling GBP=D3 edged up on the day at $1.3146, just above the $1.3127 it reached on Thursday, when it closed 0.6% higher.
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FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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Sterling steady with key tests to come

Sterling steady with key tests to come By Samuel Indyk LONDON, Sept 12 (Reuters) - The British pound was steady on Thursday after hitting a three-week low against the dollar the day before after data showed the UK economy stagnated in July, while focus turned to next week's key inflation print and central bank meeting. Sterling GBP=D3 was little changed on the day at $1.3052 and trading in a tight range, just above the $1.30025 it reached on Wednesday, its lowest since Aug 20. Data on Wednesday
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US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut

FOREX-US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut US core inflation rises 0.3% in August US dollar hits three-week high versus Swiss franc Dollar falls to lowest level since late December Fed funds futures lower odds of 50-basis-point cut this month Updates as of 3:27 p.m. ET/1927 GMT By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT- The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options Sept 11 (Reuters) - FX options thrive on FX volatility and rapid directional moves and, because they are forward looking, their price action can offer clues for the near-term outlook. Implied volatility serves as a proxy for the unknown but crucial element in option premiums: realized FX volatility.
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Sterling edges up against the dollar after UK data

Sterling edges up against the dollar after UK data By Linda Pasquini LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Sterling gained slightly versus the dollar on Wednesday, recovering from a dip earlier in the session, but slid against the euro after data showed Britain's economy stagnated unexpectedly in July, as manufacturing output fell. British economic output showed no change in month-on-month terms in July, as it did in June, data from the Office for National Statistics showed .
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These options show U.S. CPI and ECB risk to EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-These options show U.S. CPI and ECB risk to EUR/USD Sept 11 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges the unknown, yet key parameter of an FX option premium - actual/realised FX volatility, so changes after overnight/next day expiry included Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and Thursday's European Central Bank policy decisions can offer clues about the expected FX reaction.
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FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Sterling edges up versus dollar and euro after UK data

Sterling edges up versus dollar and euro after UK data By Stefano Rebaudo Sept 10 (Reuters) - Sterling edged up versus the dollar and the euro on Tuesday after UK labour data supported the view that the British economy was on a solid footing. Pay growth cooled in the three months to July to a more than two-year low, and employment shot higher, according to data on Tuesday, which is likely to keep the Bank of England on track to cut interest rates again before the end of the year.
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FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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Sterling eases to three-week low as US rate expectations shift

Sterling eases to three-week low as US rate expectations shift Sept 9 (Reuters) - The pound touched a near three-week low versus the dollar on Monday as traders unwound bets of a super-sized U.S. rate cut next week and awaited readings on the domestic economy that could dictate expectations around UK interest rates. Sterling GBP=D3 fell 0.42% to $1.30745 - its weakest since Aug.
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EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options Sept 9 (Reuters) - Before Friday's U.S. jobs data, price action in FX options was clearly concerned about EUR/USD breaking/extending the recent 14-month high at 1.1201 , but not any more. Option trade flows had seen strong demand and premium gains for sub 1-month expiry 1.1200-1.1300 strikes, which allow holders to buy EUR/USD at those levels if better than the spot price at expiry.
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Standout FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Standout FX option strike expiries this week Sept 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes expiring on Monday and for the week ahead. The closest and largest EUR/USD strikes expiring on Monday are at 1.1050 on 2.4 billion euros and 1.1100 on 1.3 billion euros.
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Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week Sept 6 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are plenty for the week ahead if the anticipated FX volatility from Friday's U.S. jobs data doesn't drive FX from current ranges.
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Sterling holds as pre-payrolls inertia grips markets

Sterling holds as pre-payrolls inertia grips markets LONDON, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The pound trod water on Friday, ahead of U.S. employment data that could intensify volatility later in the day as investors figure out whether the Federal Reserve will be forced to deliver an outsized rate cut this month or not. Sterling GBP=D3 , which is heading for a 0.3% rise against the dollar this week, was trading 0.1% lower on the day at $1.3169. It touched a one-week high of $1.31925 earlier in the day.
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FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market The USD has been under renewed pressure since Wednesday's U.S. jolts data and the market is on high alert for Friday's U.S. jobs data and its potential to sway the U.S. Fed into a 50bps cut on Sept. 18. Overnight expiry now encompasses Friday's jobs report, and the sharp rise in related implied volatility highlights the largest realised volatility risk premium for any jobs data release this year .
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